, Thai political parties are competing to outdo each other with populist policy pledges.
Yet, policies alone will not determine the winner of the May 14 election nor will the policies implemented by the post-election government necessarily align with what political parties have proposed. Instead, backroom political dealmaking will play a pivotal role in solving the conundrum ofOnly one party, Pheu Thai, has a credible chance of gaining a majority in the 500-member House but among the major parties, it is least likely to lead in forming a viable governing coalition.
The “status quo” will likely see General Prayut or General Prawit become prime minister with support from the UTN, PPRP, Bhumjaithai , Democrat, and smaller parties, with full backing from the Senate. The Cabinet may also include new members driven by progressive ideology and a welfare state agenda, drawn from the Move Forward Party. However, it is unlikely that the MFP’s push to amend Article 112 on royal defamation or to reform the military will be successful under Pheu Thai’s leadership. Pheu Thai may prefer to govern without further upsetting the Thai conservative establishment, especially with a Shinawatra scion as prime minister.
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Source: ChannelNewsAsia - 🏆 6. / 66 Read more »