“We anticipate that La Niña conditions will develop by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, likely resulting in reduced levels of tropical Atlantic vertical wind shear. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the hurricane Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean remain at record warm levels.
The average from 1991-2020 is 14.4, 7.2, and 3.2.“We anticipate a well above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity,” the university said.
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