Tropical Storm Beryl has formed, and it has the potential of becoming the first hurricane of the Atlantic season. Given the trends and uncertainty, anyone in the eastern Caribbean, Jamaica, and even the Gulf Coast of the U.S. or Mexico should be paying attention over the next 0 to 14 days. Here’s what you need to know about Beryl as it gains strength.
The discussion goes on to say, “A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for Barbados. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches, and possibly Warnings, will likely be required for portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands later today.” Beyond the immediate threat, the nation’s top hurricane experts also urge interests in the western and central Caribbean Sea to monitor the system too.
A stronger West African Monsoon, which affects the easterly winds associated with late season tropical cyclone formation.Why are experts like me concerned about Beryl? It will likely be a hurricane within the next several hours, and many people in the eastern Caribbean region may not be prepared for or accustomed to a storm like this in June. Further, the following statement from the National Hurricane Center is worthy of note.
Beyond three days, there is uncertainty due to the models and potential influences of a stronger wind shear environment. There is also divergence in the models. For U.S. Gulf Coast and Mexico interests, this storm could definitely be a player for you by the second week of July so keep a close eye on its development. Where it ultimately goes and its future status, will likely depend on how strong it is exiting the central Caribbean region. Our best models have divergent viewpoints right now.
My best advice is to pay attention to credible experts and avoid the wishcasters. The National Hurricane Center is always my initial source of choice. By the way, they are also watching other systems in the Atlantic Basin. Ben Noll, a meteorologist at the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research in New Zealand, is right. It’s going to be a long season.Our community is about connecting people through open and thoughtful conversations.