Hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University predict an extremely active year for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes in 2024. They forecast 11 hurricanes, with five of them being major storms of Category 3 intensity or higher. The researchers also predict that 23 storms may become intense enough to be named. These values are well above the average for the period of 1991-2020.
The forecasters attribute the above-average season to extremely warm ocean temperatures and a decrease in wind shear due to upcoming La Niña conditions. The report also indicates the probability of storms making landfall, with a 62% chance of at least one major hurricane hitting the U.S. coastline. Specifically, there is a 34% chance on the East Coast and a 42% chance on the Gulf Coast. Additionally, there is a 66% chance of a major hurricane tracking through the Caribbean
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted to be Extremely ActiveThe experts at Colorado State University have released their seasonal outlook for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, predicting an extremely active season with above-average figures of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes.
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted to be 'Extremely Active'The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season has been predicted to be 'extremely active,' according to Colorado State University (CSU) meteorologists. The meteorologists' predictions forecast that there will be 23 named storms in 2024, with 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes. It's the highest number of hurricanes the meteorologists have predicted in their 41-year history of publishing the outlooks in April. Prior to this year, the highest number of predicted hurricanes made by the CSU team was for nine hurricanes in 1995, according to an Axios report. Record warm tropical and eastern subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are cited as the primary reason behind the forecast, CSU said. In addition to above-average ocean temperatures, El Niño is expected to transition into La Niña by this summer or fall. El Niño and La Niña are two climate patterns that greatly impact Earth's weather.
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