LIVE: Colorado State University releases hurricane season forecast, and it's expected to be a busy one

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This is the first chance to see what science is showing us could happen this hurricane season.

HOUSTON — Colorado State University is out with its forecast for what they believe will be a very busy Atlantic hurricane season.

Why such an active season? Dr. Phil Klotzbach, lead forecaster at CSU, says it's because of two main factors -- above normal sea surface temperatures and expected La Niña conditions this summer. The warm water adds more energy to the tropics, making fuel for these storms more available. But perhaps more importantly, La Niña usually reduces vertical wind shear.

For example, the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season had 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes and five majors. That's pretty close to what CSU is calling for. Even with that many storms, however, Houston/Galveston did not get one drop of rain from any of them."No one can tell you months in advance when or where storms are going to go," Dr. Klotzbach said."We always say it only takes one storm. Because obviously it does.

 

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