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Climate model provides data-driven answer to major goal of climate research

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A new research study from The University of Alabama in Huntsville, a part of the University of Alabama System, addresses a central question of climate change research: how much warming can be expected from adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere through fossil fuel burning and other activities as standards of living increase around the world?

UAH’s Dr. John Christy reviews results from the one-dimensional climate model Dr. Roy W. Spencer developed.

"For over 30 years, dozens of highly sophisticated computerized climate models based upon theory have been unable to agree on an answer. That's why we developed our own one-dimensional climate model to provide an answer," says. Dr. Spencer. When compared to other current climate models, the research results from Spencer and Christy's one-dimensional climate model approached the bottom end of the range, 1.9° Celsius. The lower UAH value indicates that the climate impact of increasing carbon dioxide concentrations is much less that that based on other climate models.

What distinguishes this model developed at UAH from others is that it is driven by actual observations of warming, rather than theoretical assumptions about how the climate system responds to increasing greenhouse gases.

 

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