. His Senate seat is up for re-election in 2024 and the odds are that Manchin — who’s watched West Virginia go from a place Bill Clinton won in 1996 to— would lose, especially if the GOP runs popular Gov. Jim Justice. That means his time as kingmaker of a divided Senate is running out.would be in even greater demand
as a presidential candidate, much as Perot was in 1992. The exposure won’t come close to putting him in the White House, but it couldBut the other thing that a Manchin-No Labels campaign would accomplish would bein American history. It’s true that the impact of third-party candidates is unpredictable; most experts believe, for example, that Perotthat a three-way race in 2024 would help Trump return to the White House.
, Bump — a whiz at using data to analyze where America is going — looks at the last throes of the generation born from 1946-64 and what that means for the survivors. Thanks to Doc Rivers, James Harden, and Joel Embiid,: Do you think it’ll be a high voting turnout for the mayor voting race? — Via Vernon Carter on Twitter: Vernon, history tells us the answer will be “no.