Professor Cheng and Mr Andrews said the models suggested the fortnightly case average was expected to fall below five at some time in October."Each model has its strengths and weaknesses, but none of them can be extremely precise when case numbers are so low," the Government's report on the modelling said.Professor Cheng said during the "tail" of the state's second wave, chance played a much larger role and could see the timeline pushed back.
It suggested if restrictions were lifted to "NSW level" on September 14, the date the roadmap was announced, there would have been an 86 per cent chance of cases reaching more than 100 within four weeks. One of the big changes to the roadmap is a return to school for all primary school students from the week beginning October 12.The Government has used research performed by the Murdoch Children's Research Institute as a basis for the change.
"This change reduces their overall infectivity compared to adults from 77 per cent to 51 per cent," a Government report into the modelling said.Students in their final year of high school will be heading back to the classroom for term four.
They face a bigger threat from the gender misfits funded by Dan
“modelling” lol.
Problems when Children Do Get Covid!
Models?😂 Just look at NSW, real world data. No worries at all. Kids are fine and at sifnifigantly less risk than seasonal influenza. The whole thing is a joke at this point. No justification for ANY restrictions.
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