"If you think of our health care system as a subway car and it's rush hour and everybody wants to get on the car once, they start piling up at the door," says Drew Harris, a population health researcher at Thomas Jefferson University in Philadelphia."They pile up on the platform. There's just not enough room in the car to take care of everybody, to accommodate everybody. That's the system that is overwhelmed.
Harris is the creator of a widely shared graphic visualizing just why it is so important to flatten the curve of a pandemic, including the current one — we've reproduced his graphic at the top of this page. The tan curve represents a scenario in which the U.S. hospital system becomes inundated with coronavirus patients.
However, Harris says, if we can delay the spread of the virus so that new cases aren't popping up all at once, but rather over the course of weeks or months,"then the system can adjust and accommodate all the people who are possibly going to get sick and possibly need hospital care." People would still get infected, he notes, but at a rate that the health care system could actually keep up with — a scenario represented by the more gently sloped blue curve on the graph.
So the takeaway from this in Trump's America is get sick right now, because in a week or two you'll be on the very bad part of the growth curve. This isn't a chart showing possibilities this is a graph that shows what is going to happen.
Graphically, a biochemical intervention w/a serial sex offender.. - Real & significant disruptions to daily life, eg school closures, event cancellations are vital to slow the coronavirus spread, so hospitals don't get overwhelmed w/huge s of sick people
GrrlScientist The [UK] NHS was already at capacity r4today
So we have an objective with an umbrella to statistical graphs! Got it! Unfortunately, most Americans won’t find significance. As we recognize a pandemic, we should observe our lack of education in this country and the purposeful being of the privileged to keep it as is!
I can’t believe big companies like Starbucks care more about profits over their partners!!
thats' great, but the healthcare system capacity line is a magic line with no basis in fact.
As usual, the right one is smaller than the left one. 😑
Is God really to blame for all of this chaos and death? 🔻
This is the point JPN experts emphasized at an early stage. Don't rush to the hospitals and let the medical experts provide med care to the ppl who are in really need. We can still maintain low death ratio.
ndngenuity Above the dotted line: mostly dead.
countyofsb It would also overwhelm our emergency services. Most people assume that there are enough services for every person but that is not feasible in normal circumstances
Camillewyatt It's called space people. Keep at least 1 Meter between you and another person. The greater the distance the better.
I think we should all consider a 2 week global staycation
va fģ g,h OP
That health care system capacity line is naively high.
agilecoach If you want to put calendar dates on things to see how important it is to act right now to flatten the curve, I have a visual that may help. We are tracking right behind Italy if we don't collectively stay home and stay six feet away from other people.
Making people stay home with sick loved ones is just going to spread it to family members. We need fever clinics.
FlattenTheCurve “We’ll get by through this isolation. It’s gonna take time we’re all in the same situation. We’ll get by but first we gotta flatten the curve.”
Yes, but who is sick or has the virus? ... Who knows? Too bad no one can get tested. 🔬
Here is another article that includes clear, simple, moving graphics simulating virus spread and how we can help flatten the curve!
Wish this news could have come out a few days ago, but let's do the right thing now.
Well finally you're doing something helpful.
Its to late guys.
Yeah, I think people don’t realize this is about delaying transmission, not preventing it forever. Containment is no longer an option.
I think that dotted line needs to be lowered to be realistic with respect to our lousy health system.
So what happened with trumps Sunday night announcement of 500k tests and where those testing sites would be?
The reason people feel the need to hoard bottled water is because the news media sucks at it's nominal job.
Pseudomathematical
rtraugh Over hype!
On top of those already being cared for. Flattening then curve is incredibly important.
Do ya get it yet!
FlattenTheCurve
We have been past the point of no return for a few weeks now
What's with all the crap in the pictures? Who is more crap? Where the hell is my whiskey?!!
My hubby just went to get take out: local menards, bar, grocery parking lots are FULL. WTH ppl? COVIDー19
Due to coronavirus, we should defund NPR.
Everyone would need to get a Home for this strategy to be implemented
SuptJaraCCSD LasVegasSun FOX5Vegas SteveSisolak ClarkCountySch
President Trump along with VP Pence has truly done an amazing job at getting things done in a timely manner.
with a peak in November around election time 🤔🤔🤔